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June 2022: A Big Month in Texas Political History

June of 2022 was a big month in political history for the state of Texas as a special election in South Texas brought a Republican Hispanic into the U.S. Congress. It was a special election that will have to be replayed in November.

The key item from this victory was that almost half of the early turnout were from voters who ordinarily would vote in the Democratic Primary.  Secondarily, the Democrats in Washington D.C. were blamed for this unexpected loss.

Read the two following articles which will give you the big picture of how important this special election was in Texas history.

NEW MARIST POLL SHOWS NATIONAL HISPANIC RESULTS

One of the most complete and in-depth national polls so far this year was released recently (field date April 19-26, 2022) of a national sample of almost 1,400 respondents. The survey was supported by NPR/PBS and conducted as the Marist Poll. The headlines that came out of this survey were, of course, that President Joe Biden’s job approval rating was a consistent 51% disapproval and that the generic U.S. House ballot for the upcoming midterm elections now favors the Republican Party (47% to 44%). That’s quite a change from their previous survey in September 2021, which had given the Democrats a +8% lead on the generic U.S. House ballot.

However, when digging deeper into the statistical group results, there was some surprisingly interesting Hispanic data that was not reported. Hispanics are 14% of the national registered vote sample population, which is just enough sample size to pay attention to their specific results. Each statistical table breaks down the Anglo-Black-Hispanic-Other so you compare the today’s political universe “up close and personal“.

Texas Monthly Looks at Why Democrats are Losing Texas Latinos

“South Texas, lately, has become an object of political fascination for pundits, some of whom have not taken the time to understand even the most basic facts about the region.”  This is how Texas Monthly began their article (Sept 2021) which was entitled, Why Democrats Are Losing Texas Latinos.  Their in-depth investigation started out with how the new mayor of McAllen, Texas could explain how a Hispanic electorate could go Republican and, after some 20 pages, concluded that there were three hypotheses (see below).  As we approach the May 24th runoff in Texas and the forthcoming midterm elections in Texas this November, this analysis deserves closer reading.

On the TLC Calendar

29
Wednesday
June
Facebook Live and YouTube

11:00 AM

TLC Live! With Orlando and Andrea


06
Wednesday
July
Facebook Live and YouTube

11:00 AM

TLC Live! With Orlando and Andrea


13
Wednesday
July
Facebook Live and YouTube

11:00 AM

TLC Live! With Orlando and Andrea